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Tuesday, June 20, 2006

 

The Blog is Back !

And it will be different and hopefully more entertaining. A little lighter, a little more regular (Tuesday's, Thursday's and Saturday's) and some new features including a record of my investment transactions for all you Cramer influenced Mad Money fans. (Please note - this site provides no investment advice - the writer is NOT an investment advisor).

So tonight, some random thoughts...

Los Metso's middle three represent the most formidable offense in the team's history, even better than the Hernandez, Strawberry, Carter days. Supporting cast is pretty good too.

Media was pretty tough on Phil Sunday, but in reality, he hit one horrible shot on 18 (from the tee) and made a bad decision on his second shot. Even if he lobs a wedge to the fairway for his second, he is unlikely to make par, so we are looking at an 18 hole playoff. Far from a sure thing. I think Monty's double from the fairway, under less pressure, was worse. Also Furyk bogied when a par would have put him in the playoff, yet Phil is taking all the heat.

Lost in the flap about Karl Rove's exoneration is the reality that this whole Plame case never should have been a cause celeb and no special prosecutor was necessary. The Libby case should be dropped too. If not, Bush should just pardon him and be done with it.

Something has to be done about Iran, and sanctions are not the answer. You can't let a madman have a nuke and that's all there is to it.

Here's my crazy prediction for the night - John Faso will make it a much closer race for NY Gov than anyone thinks. Right now, the smart money says Spitzer wins for fun. I'm not saying Spitzer loses, but I do think it will be much closer than anyone now believes. Meanwhile I am very surprised at how inept Tom Suozzi has been and he should pull out ASAP.

The economy is a real muddle. Commodities have backed off, but I still say they are signalling imbedded inflation. When a government runs such large deficits, you know there will be some inflation - the creditors always get screwed. However, a depression? full blown stagflation? Doesn't seem to be happening. Only if Ben loses his nerve and bows to pressure to stop the anti-inflation campaign. Economy should be quite soft the second half of this year, but improved in 2008 (signaled by the typical stock rally in the third year of the Presidential cycle).

After selling stock most of the spring, culminating in the takeover of my SVC shares, I have been nibbling this month. recent transactions: 6/14 bot 50 of MAN at 61.45; 6/16 bot 100 of TFX at 51.20; 6/19 bot 100 of WTS at 36.61.

Comments:
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